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Ladies and Gentlemen,
Introduction:
Let me begin by thanking The
Asia Society Australasia Center and the
Australia Indonesia Business Council for
inviting me to speak here today.
I am pleased to meet all of
you here in Sydney. I fondly remember visiting
your beautiful city back in 2003 as Co-ordinating
Minister for Politics and Security. Back
then, I had a feeling that I would return
to this city, though I certainly did not
imagine that I would come as Indonesia's
President.
The nice thing about being
President, of course, is that when you are
invited to give an address, no matter what
topic they assign you, they usually let
you speak about anything you want.
So today, I wish to speak to
you about two subjects. First, the question
of how Indonesia is doing, especially since
the new political landscape that was created
after the historic Parliamentary and Presidential
elections last year,
The second subject is my favorite,
that is, on the improved state of Indonesia
- Australia relations, and how it can translate
into greater business opportunities for
you.
Let me start with the first
subject : how is Indonesia doing ? Are things
changing ? Are things changing for the better
?
The simple answer to that is
"yes". Let me offer 3 points to
support the proposition that Indonesia is
moving forward steadily, but surely.
First, our political
development and democratic transition is
robust.
If you have not been to Indonesia lately,
you will hardly recognize the political
landscape.
Democracy is alive and kicking.
Civil society is thriving, and so is freedom
of speech and of the press. Political participation
is strong. The Parliament is very active
and independent. The relationship and responsibilities
between the Presidency and the Legislature
is much clearer than before. And for the
first time, an Indonesian President is directly
elected by the electorate. We are also seeing
the return of political stability and certainty
as the present political arrangement is
expected to hold-up until the next elections
in 2009.
And there is definitely a new
"energy" since the historic elections
of 2004. The great yearning for change,
so predominant during the elections, now
takes the form of huge expectations for
my administration. These expectations drive
me and my Government to do our best, but
I must admit that these expectations at
the beginning were too high. After my first
100 days, I think the people are developing
more realistic expectations.
Secondly, our economy
is steady, stable, growing and full of opportunities.
In 2004, Indonesia was able
to maintain macroeconomic stability with
inflation at 6.4 percent and growth at 5.1
percent.
This year, we expect growth
to pick up to 5.5 percent, and with the
right policies, we are convinced we will
achieve our target for an average growth
rate of 6.6 percent in the next five years.
Per capita income is now higher than prior
to the crisis at over $1000/capita.
We are also managing our fiscal
situation with debt levels coming down and
the deficit under control. My decision on
March 1, to raise the price 29% certain
oil products was politically difficult but
economically necessary for our long-term
growth. With the fiscal situation vastly
improved, Indonesia now has one of the smallest
deficits in Asia, with budget deficit outcomes
being below forecast in recent years.
Debt levels have gone down rapidly and are
expected to continue to do so. The debt
to GDP ratio has been successfully reduced
from 99% in 2000 to 53% in 2004. It is predicted
that by the end of 2005 the debt to GDP
in 2004 will decline to 48%. This is considered
very good even by OECD standard.
By the end of 2004, the sign
of investment recovery are evident with
the import of capital goods increasing by
44 percent, investment rising by 11 percent,
and for the first time since the crisis,
we are seeing net capital inflows.
I happily note that confidence
in Indonesia is growing, with upgrades being
undertaken by various Rating Agencies, booming
stock market, increases in the pledge by
donors at the recent CGI (Consultative Group
on Indonesia) meeting in January, For example:
Moody's
upgraded Indonesia two-notch in 2003 to
B2, once in June and other in September.
S&P
upgraded Indonesia three-notches in
2003 and 2004 to B+ (in May 2003, October
2003 and December 2004).
And Fitch
upgraded long term local and foreign
currency sovereign ratings from B+ to BB-
with positive outlook (January 2005).
So the signposts are good,
and I have every confidence that we will
stay on track
towards growth.
And thirdly, we are holding
up well despite being the Government
with arguably the worst luck for getting
one bad break after another. The hardest
part of my Presidency is dealing with the
unknowns, and there have been too many of
them. The earthquake in Nabire, the earthquake
in Alor, the massive tsunami in Aceh and
North Sumatra, the flood in South Sumatra,
the earthquake in Nias.
I think there is a quality
of resilience and endurance about Indonesia
that is simply remarkable. And each tragedy
seems to make us even stronger as a nation.
I suppose the bottom line is
that Indonesia is transforming rapidly-not
just changing, but transforming.
And as Indonesia is fast transforming, Indonesia
- Australia relations are also undergoing
transformation.
This is the third day of my
visit in Australia, and everything I have
seen so far convinced me even more that
Indonesia and Australia are headed for stronger,
closer, better relations.
Yesterday, Prime Minister Howard
and I announced a Comprehensive Partnership
that promises a new era of bilateral relations
between Indonesia and Australia. This Partnership
promises to strengthen what is already one
of Indonesia's most elaborate relations
with any country.
This Comprehensive Partnership
affects you, the business community, because
ultimately what fuels this partnership is
the people. The more people interact, the
more students exchange, the more businessmen
connect, the stronger the partnership.
I believe that we are ready
to embark on a broader, deeper and mutually
advantageous relationship based on not just
G-G relations, but most importantly B-B
(business-to-business).
After all, this has proved
to be the more resilient part of our links.
Our bilateral relations may have its ups
and downs, but the economic and business
relations between our two countries generally
have not been affected by them.
Just look at our trade.
Trade between our two countries
have continued grow, with two way trade
reaching A$ 8.49 billion. Indonesia is Australia's
10th largest markets, with Australian exports
rising to A$ 4.23 billion, while Indonesian
exports to Australia reached A$ 4.26 billion.
Meanwhile, approved Australian
investment in Indonesia reached $ 3.9 billion
making it the 7th largest investor. A number
of Australian companies have significant
investments and a long history of involvement
in the Indonesian mining and energy sector.
Australian businesses have also entered
into the agro-based sectors and the financial,
health and education sectors.
But please excuse me for saying
this, for I think our business links can
do better. Much better.
There are plenty of new investment
opportunities that have not been fully harnessed.
For example, the Joint Working Group on
Agriculture and Food industry recently identified
the following opportunities in Indonesian
food and agriculture industries for Australian
businesses : growth potential for cheese
production, good prospects for business
alliances in the high growth beverage sector,
downstream processing of beef, bakery and
cereal production, and new and novel food
ingredients.
There are also opportunities
in infrastructure development, which is
a top priority for my Government's economic
program. In January this year, we held a
major infrastructure summit in Jakarta,
after which 91 projects worth $22.4 billion,
out of the total of $156 billion, will be
tendered in 2005.
20 projects have been announced
in Tranche I in March, and the remainder
in June. These include toll roads, electricity,
gas, transportations and telecommunication
projects. The government has a plan of mutually
beneficial public-private sector partnership
in infrastructure investment for the commercially
viable sectors. For those sectors that are
not attractive for private investment, the
government will use its own resources.
In persuading you to take part
in Indonesia's infrastructure development
opportunities, I am of course aware of the
issues that are of concern to foreign investors.
Bureaucratic bottlenecks, completing needed
policy and regulatory reforms, and the risk
management framework--yes, we are working
hard on this.
The government is also working
hard to improve the general investment climate
and reduce the costs of doing business in
Indonesia. Firstly, the government
is currently reviewing the investment law
to ensure national treatment and provide
clear guidelines.
Second, we reviewing
the approval, registration and licensing
procedures with the objective of streamlining
and providing transparency. We hope to achieve
these improvements beginning this year.
Third, we are committed
to addressing key issues already identified
by the business sector as burdening the
costs of doing business. The labor regulations
related to retrenchment, outsourcing and
contract labor, and wage setting are being
reviewed with the objective of finding a
better balance between the need to protect
workers on the one hand, and overburdening
employees and contributing to an inflexible
labor market, on the other hand.
We are also undertaking a comprehensive
review in order to reduce the number, cost
and time to process exports and imports,
and reducing the time and administration
costs at the tax and customs departments.
On the issue of decentralization,
we are reviewing the various overlapping
regulations between the central government
and local governments with the focus on
improving legal certainty and efficiency.
Fourth, we know that
the issue of legal certainty is of important
concern for investors. We are doing a number
of things to address this.
We are reviewing and amending
laws and regulations, harmonizing rules
and regulations, establishing new courts
and improving the management of courts.
Finally, my government has
and will continue to take a firm stance
against corruption. We have enacted the
necessary laws and regulations and we have
also taken action in a growing number of
corruption cases of government and non government
officials.
There is also the acceleration of the action-oriented
program to address illegal logging which
has resulted in the seizure of tons of illegal
logs and the arrests and prosecution of
those allegedly involved.
So there you have it. A new
President. A new Parliament. A new Indonesia.
An exciting new bilateral relations between
Indonesia and Australia. And a whole set
of new business opportunities for you.
My only hope is that you take
advantage of all this. And that is why I
am here today to PERSONALLY convince you
that if you invest your money with us, you
WILL grow with us, your investment WILL
be in good hands and good prospects.
I am convinced that Indonesia
is well on its way to an exciting new era
of growth, dynamism and progress for Indonesia.
Be part of it. Profit
from it. Join us in investing in Indonesia
future.
I thank you, and I look
forward to our discussions.
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